Technological Shock Index
References
Books & Reports
- Brynjolfsson, E., & McAfee, A. (2014). The second machine age: Work, progress, and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies. W.W. Norton & Company. http://digamo.free.fr/brynmacafee2.pdf
- Ford, M. (2015). Rise of the robots: Technology and the threat of a jobless future. Basic Books. https://www.uc.pt/feuc/citcoimbra/Martin_Ford-Rise_of_the_Robots
- Toffler, A. (1970). Future shock. Random House.
Journal Articles & Working Papers
- Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2020). Robots and jobs: Evidence from U.S. labor markets. Journal of Political Economy, 128(6), 2188-2244. https://shapingwork.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Robots-and-Jobs-Evidence-from-US-Labor-Markets.p.pdf
- Autor, D. H., Levy, F., & Murnane, R. J. (2003). The skill content of recent technological change: An empirical exploration. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(4), 1279-1333. https://economics.mit.edu/sites/default/files/publications/the%20skill%20content%202003.pdf
- Bessen, J. E. (2019). AI and jobs: The role of demand. NBER Working Paper No. 24235. https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w24235/w24235.pdf
- Eloundou, T., Manning, S., Mishkin, P., & Rock, D. (2023). GPTs are GPTs: An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models. OpenAI. https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.10130
- Schilling, M. A. (2015). Technology shocks, technological collaboration, and innovation outcomes. Organization Science, 26(3), 668-686. https://www.jstor.org/stable/43661014
- Frey, C. B., & Osborne, M. A. (2013). The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerization? Oxford University. https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/publications/the-future-of-employment
Government & Institutional Reports
- Arntz, M., Gregory, T., & Zierahn, U. (2016). The risk of automation for jobs in OECD countries: A comparative analysis. OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 189. https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/the-risk-of-automation-for-jobs-in-oecd-countries_5jlz9h56dvq7-en.html
- Brookings Institution. (2018). Automation and artificial intelligence: How machines are affecting people and places. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/automation-and-artificial-intelligence-how-machines-affect-people-and-places/
- Brookings Institution. (2023). Generative AI, the American worker, and the future of work. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/generative-ai-the-american-worker-and-the-future-of-work/
- International Monetary Fund. (2004). Technology shocks and aggregate fluctuations. IMF Working Paper WP/04/234.
- International Monetary Fund. (2024). AI will transform the global economy: Let’s make sure it benefits humanity. https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/01/14/ai-will-transform-the-global-economy-lets-make-sure-it-benefits-humanity
- McKinsey & Company. (2023). The future of work after COVID-19. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/the-future-of-work-after-covid-19
- McKinsey Global Institute. (2017). Jobs lost, jobs gained: What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/jobs-lost-jobs-gained-what-the-future-of-work-will-mean-for-jobs-skills-and-wages
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2012). Employment shifts in the 20th century. https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2004/02/art1full.pdf
- World Economic Forum. (2020). The future of jobs report 2020. https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-report-2020
- World Economic Forum. (2023). The future of jobs report 2023. https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-report-2023
News Articles
- Camoin Associates. (2023). How AI is impacting the US workforce. https://camoinassociates.com/resources/how-ai-is-impacting-the-us-workforce/
- Clark, J. (2025). Anthropic’s approach to AI safety and its implications for the workforce. Business Insider. https://www.businessinsider.com/openai-jack-clark-anthropic-ai-billionaire-2025-1
- Chui, M., & Manyika, J. (2023). AI in the workplace: A report for 2025. McKinsey & Company. https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/superagency-in-the-workplace-empowering-people-to-unlock-ais-full-potential-at-work
- Forbes Technology Council. (2024). The future of work: Embracing AI’s job creation potential. https://www.forbes.com/councils/forbestechcouncil/2024/03/12/the-future-of-work-embracing-ais-job-creation-potential/
- Nature Communications. (2024). The impact of artificial intelligence on employment: The role of virtual work. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41599-024-02647-9
- Tony Blair Institute for Global Change. (2023). The impact of AI on the labour market. https://institute.global/insights/economic-prosperity/the-impact-of-ai-on-the-labour-market
- Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s speech at CES 2025 highlighting agentic AI as a “multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.” (2025). Yahoo Finance. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jensen-huang-declares-age-agentic-154517698.html
- Sample, I. (2025). What International AI Safety report says on jobs, climate, cyberwar and more. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/jan/29/what-international-ai-safety-report-says-jobs-climate-cyberwar-deepfakes-extinction
AI Pioneers & Tech Leaders
- Andreessen, M. (2024). AI will crash human wages, top investor reveals chilling AI goal. News.com.au. https://www.news.com.au/technology/online/internet/human-wages-crash-from-ai-top-investor-reveals-chilling-ai-goal/news-story/becc932a0434fb55e335ab4aab8bf109
- Bengio, Y. (2023). AI pioneers sound alarm over rapid advancement of artificial intelligence. BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-65760449
- Hinton, G. (2023). AI godfather warns of existential risks of artificial intelligence. BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-65452940
- Khosla, V. (2023). AI and the future of work: The case for universal basic income. Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vinod_Khosla
- Nadella, S. (2024). DeepSeek model likely to boost demand for AI, says Microsoft CEO. The Times. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/deepseek-model-likely-to-boost-demand-for-ai-says-microsoft-boss-b79sxwdvl